Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.092695 0.100033 0.107829 0.116753 0.126717 0.137539 0.150227
2024-10-20 0.078661 0.088468 0.099501 0.112929 0.128961 0.147658 0.171360
2024-10-27 0.069815 0.080782 0.093621 0.109949 0.130433 0.155655 0.189667
2024-11-03 0.066803 0.079251 0.094350 0.114335 0.140586 0.174634 0.223436
2024-11-10 0.064929 0.078726 0.095995 0.119685 0.152150 0.196373 0.263633
2024-11-17 0.061420 0.075733 0.094090 0.119996 0.156727 0.208825 0.292143
2024-11-24 0.057666 0.072085 0.090949 0.118206 0.157982 0.216391 0.314028
2024-12-01 0.054179 0.068523 0.087613 0.115768 0.157909 0.221745 0.332864
2024-12-08 0.050731 0.064788 0.083765 0.112239 0.155786 0.223546 0.345770
2024-12-15 0.048596 0.062715 0.082073 0.111671 0.158030 0.232373 0.372048
2024-12-22 0.046341 0.060341 0.079790 0.110018 0.158359 0.237974 0.393157
2024-12-29 0.045078 0.059287 0.079325 0.111051 0.163019 0.251313 0.431121
2025-01-05 0.042411 0.056212 0.075903 0.107534 0.160337 0.252316 0.446455
2025-01-12 0.039982 0.053390 0.072734 0.104249 0.157847 0.253552 0.463006
2025-01-19 0.037920 0.051002 0.070082 0.101597 0.156189 0.256105 0.482969
2025-01-26 0.037658 0.051250 0.071430 0.105535 0.166456 0.282761 0.564386
2025-02-02 0.037592 0.051776 0.073221 0.110327 0.178783 0.315505 0.671003
2025-02-09 0.036520 0.050705 0.072420 0.110604 0.182644 0.331189 0.737996
2025-02-16 0.035125 0.049072 0.070625 0.109003 0.182692 0.338538 0.783750
2025-02-23 0.033704 0.047339 0.068581 0.106820 0.181374 0.342621 0.821112
2025-03-02 0.032177 0.045379 0.066079 0.103656 0.177803 0.341028 0.840393
2025-03-09 0.031262 0.044353 0.065070 0.103147 0.179623 0.352490 0.906545
2025-03-16 0.030217 0.043078 0.063586 0.101663 0.179267 0.358599 0.956636